Many policy decisions these days are not black and white but rather a matter of where you draw the line along a spectrum stretching between two ridiculous extremes. Two news items over the past week provide good examples.
Treasury has advised the NZ government that the public education system needs to save money and to achieve this it should increase class sizes, using some of the money saved to pay the best teachers more. It justifies this policy via some convenient research that, we’re told, shows class sizes are not a factor in determining educational outcomes, whereas outstanding teachers are.
Decisions on how big classes are and how much you pay teachers lie along a wide spectrum. At the extremes are (1) having one teacher for every student, and (2) having classes of perhaps 500 under the tutelage of one fantastically qualified, motivated and remunerated teacher. Both are ridiculous.
All teachers and, I suspect, most parents believe that a key aim of educational policy should be to reduce rather than increase class sizes. Most of us can relate to experiences of some teachers and children hopelessly trying to work effectively within classes of 30 or 40.
I suspect the research being quoted is actually saying: If you have some extra money to spend in education, you should look at paying teachers more (in order to motivate them to do a better job or retain the best ones) rather than reducing class sizes. That may well be true, and at least it’s arguable. But it’s not the same as saying that if you want to save money you should therefore increase class sizes first.
The real question now is: in order to save money, should we edge the numbers up to larger classes, in the hope that the fewer teachers required will do a better job just because they’re paid an extra $10,000 pa (or whatever)?
I doubt there are many teachers who would take on the extra stress and workload of larger classes just for the sake of some extra pay. Apart, that is, for those teachers who are only in it for the money. (Free-market people always assume that everyone is in everything just for the money.) The teachers I know, while being happy to be better remunerated, would rather have less classroom stress and administrative workload than more money. This new policy will not encourage them to stay on if it is the workload that is currently causing them to leave the profession.
In any case, I hope the government can resist the temptation to tinker with the public education system for money-saving purposes. Good education will always be one of the most critical elements of a sustainable, intelligent society.
So if class size increase is truly on the agenda, under the highly doubtful argument that class sizes don’t matter, then just think how big you could make classes before things fall apart. Forty? Fifty? One hundred? According to Treasury’s argument, there is no upper limit at which the theory no longer applies, which is of course ridiculous. So every effort should be made to nudge sizes lower whenever possible and certainly not allow a creep upward.
Drawing the line likewise is presenting problems on the issue of the sale of New Zealand land to non-Kiwis. While once upon a time this could have been a black-and-white issue – ie, before the first parcels of land were sold to offshore owners – it is now a grey matter of how much is too much.
We are told that only 1% of New Zealand’s land mass is now in foreign hands, but also that the proportion of productive land held by non-Kiwis is 7%. That latter figure does raise alarm bells.
I’ve put my opinion on farm and land sales as clearly as I can in this posting: “How New Zealand could be bought out … again”, and in this earlier one: “Dairy farm buy-up will lead to NZ’s second great colonisation”. I can also see and follow the arguments for welcoming overseas investment, although my sentiment remains on the side of ‘no more sales’.
So it’s a question of where do you draw the line. The two extremes are (1) sell absolutely no land to foreigners (sorry, too late), and (2) open up all sales to the top bidders, wherever in the world they live (still possible, if we allow it).
This line is constantly moving, but in one direction only – upward. As long as NZ remains a desirable place to live and retire to (a flattering thought), make money from or secure your future food supply from, buyers from wealthier countries will continue to take part in (and usually win) land purchases.
And every parcel of land that goes to an overseas owner raises that percentage of our country that we no longer own, up from 7%. At what point does this reach alarm point, when our attitude will have to change or we must accept we are in the same position that Maori have found themselves – tenants and labourers in a country we no longer own? Ten percent? Twenty? Fifty?
This argument needs more long-term vision rather than mainly a way to maintain sovereign and private cashflow.
Posted by David Armstrong